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Walmart Inc. (WMT) - Company Overview

Report Created as of: Thursday, 09/18/2025

Share Price: $103.79 ($-0.48)      Marketcap:  $825.99B

52-Week Range: $78.04 on 09/19/2024 - $105.05 on 02/13/2025

Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Hypermarkets & Discount Stores


Business Profile    Business Profile

America's largest retailer by sales Walmart operated over 10 500 stores under 46 banners at the end of fiscal 2022 selling a variety of general merchandise and grocery items. Its home market accounted for 82% of sales in fiscal 2022 with Mexico and Central America (6%) and Canada (4%) its largest external markets. In the United States at the namesake banner around 56% of sales come from grocery 32% from general merchandise and 11% from health and wellness items. The company operates several e-commerce properties apart from its eponymous site including Flipkart and shoes.com (it also owns a roughly 10% stake in Chinese online retailer JD.com). Combined e-commerce accounted for about 13% of fiscal 2022 sales.


Performance Overview    Performance Overview

Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Hypermarkets & Discount Stores

Industry Context    Industry Context

Performance Percentile by historical ranges
2 Weeks 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year
45% 4% 14% 77% 57%

Neutral relative strength. Hypermarkets & Discount Stores industry is neither a leader nor a laggard compared to other industries.

Interpretation    This could indicate: When both 1-year and 2-week percentiles are in the middle range, the industry is in equilibrium - neither leading nor lagging. This is a 'neutral zone' where sector-level trades lack conviction, and focus shifts to stock-specific or volatility-driven opportunities.


Stock vs Sector    WMT Performance vs. Sector (Consumer Staples) peers and Overall Market

Performance Percentile by historical ranges
Description 2 Weeks 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year
Sector 74% 55% 68% 75% 73%
Overall Market 64% 33% 48% 77% 73%

In-line performer. Walmart Inc. (WMT) is neither a leader nor a laggard relative to Consumer Staples sector peers.

Interpretation    Interpretation: This neutral alignment suggests limited edge from sector-relative analysis, so focus shifts to stock-specific or volatility-driven opportunities.


Volatility    WMT Volatility Analysis

Current Volatility Snapshot


Options Sentiment    Options Sentiment

Call / Put Ratio

Summary: There is a stronger bullish sentiment. Traders are positioning for upward movement, reflecting growing confidence in a price increase. The market is favoring the potential for positive price action.

Market value of open interest and average strike price weighted by open interest.

Open Interest Skew Report by Expiration
Expiration Overall Calls Put
Open Int. Avg. Price Avg. Strike Open Int. Avg. Price Avg. Strike Open Int. Avg. Price Avg. Strike

The average cost per option contract (calculated as mid-price weighted by open interest) for a given expiration month is a proxy for where traders' capital is most heavily positioned.

The average strike price weighted by open interest shows the "center of gravity" of traders' positioning for that expiration month. The strike price around which the majority of open interest (and thus traders' exposure) is concentrated.

For overall values:


HPT     High Probability Trades

The following high-probability options trade ideas can be considered for WMT

Click on "Market" or "Target" column value to view 1 Year or 5 Years Historical Price Return Distribution chart
View Trade Estimated
Profit
Probability
of Profit
Expected
P/L
Expected
AROI
Market Target
Short Put
Sell Nov.21 97.5 Put
$162     $170    
       86%  

Probability of Profit

 Normal Distribution Normal Probability is calculated using Implied Volatility, based on the assumption that historical prices have normal distribution.
 Short Historical Short Historical Probability reflects the specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 1 year, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Short Stress Test Short Stress Test Probability utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 1 year, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 Long Historical Long Historical Probability reflects specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 5 years, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Long Stress Test Long Stress Test Probability utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 5 years, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 IV and SV20 Implied and Historical Volatilities based Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting volatility values into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 20 Days Statistical and Implied Volatilities historical behavior in conditions similar to their current values.
 RSI Relative Strength Indicator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current RSI values.
 SO Stochastic Oscillator Indicator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current SO values.
 PPO Percentage Price Oscillator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current PPO values.
      $63  

Expected Profit / Loss

 Normal Distribution EPL Normal Distribution EPL is calculated based on the assumption that historical prices have normal distribution.
 Short Historical EPL Short Historical EPL reflects the specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 1 year, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Short Stress Test EPL Short Stress Test EPL utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 1 year, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 Long Historical EPL Long Historical EPL reflects specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 5 years, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Long Stress Test EPL Long Stress Test EPL utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 5 years, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 IV and SV20 EPL Implied and Historical Volatilities based EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting volatility values into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 20 Days Statistical and Implied Volatilities historical behavior in conditions similar to their current values.
 RSI EPL Relative Strength Indicator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current RSI values.
 SO EPL Stochastic Oscillator Indicator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current SO values.
 PPO EPL Percentage Price Oscillator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current PPO values.
18.30%   
Put Credit Spread
Sell Nov.21 97.5 Put
Buy Nov.21 92.5 Put
$71     $84    
       83%  

Probability of Profit

 Normal Distribution Normal Probability is calculated using Implied Volatility, based on the assumption that historical prices have normal distribution.
 Short Historical Short Historical Probability reflects the specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 1 year, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Short Stress Test Short Stress Test Probability utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 1 year, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 Long Historical Long Historical Probability reflects specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 5 years, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Long Stress Test Long Stress Test Probability utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 5 years, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 IV and SV20 Implied and Historical Volatilities based Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting volatility values into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 20 Days Statistical and Implied Volatilities historical behavior in conditions similar to their current values.
 RSI Relative Strength Indicator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current RSI values.
 SO Stochastic Oscillator Indicator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current SO values.
 PPO Percentage Price Oscillator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current PPO values.
      $11  

Expected Profit / Loss

 Normal Distribution EPL Normal Distribution EPL is calculated based on the assumption that historical prices have normal distribution.
 Short Historical EPL Short Historical EPL reflects the specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 1 year, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Short Stress Test EPL Short Stress Test EPL utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 1 year, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 Long Historical EPL Long Historical EPL reflects specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 5 years, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Long Stress Test EPL Long Stress Test EPL utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 5 years, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 IV and SV20 EPL Implied and Historical Volatilities based EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting volatility values into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 20 Days Statistical and Implied Volatilities historical behavior in conditions similar to their current values.
 RSI EPL Relative Strength Indicator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current RSI values.
 SO EPL Stochastic Oscillator Indicator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current SO values.
 PPO EPL Percentage Price Oscillator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current PPO values.
11.57%   
Put Credit Spread
Sell Oct.17 100 Put
Buy Oct.17 95 Put
$59     $64    
       82%  

Probability of Profit

 Normal Distribution Normal Probability is calculated using Implied Volatility, based on the assumption that historical prices have normal distribution.
 Short Historical Short Historical Probability reflects the specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 1 year, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Short Stress Test Short Stress Test Probability utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 1 year, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 Long Historical Long Historical Probability reflects specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 5 years, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Long Stress Test Long Stress Test Probability utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 5 years, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 IV and SV20 Implied and Historical Volatilities based Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting volatility values into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 20 Days Statistical and Implied Volatilities historical behavior in conditions similar to their current values.
 RSI Relative Strength Indicator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current RSI values.
 SO Stochastic Oscillator Indicator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current SO values.
 PPO Percentage Price Oscillator Probability utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current PPO values.
      $0  

Expected Profit / Loss

 Normal Distribution EPL Normal Distribution EPL is calculated based on the assumption that historical prices have normal distribution.
 Short Historical EPL Short Historical EPL reflects the specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 1 year, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Short Stress Test EPL Short Stress Test EPL utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 1 year, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 Long Historical EPL Long Historical EPL reflects specificity of each underlying historical behavior over a period of 5 years, taking direction of the underlying moves into consideration.
 Long Stress Test EPL Long Stress Test EPL utilizes magnitude of historical movements over a period of 5 years, representing capability of underlying to perform certain moves without taking direction of that move into consideration.
 IV and SV20 EPL Implied and Historical Volatilities based EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting volatility values into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 20 Days Statistical and Implied Volatilities historical behavior in conditions similar to their current values.
 RSI EPL Relative Strength Indicator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current RSI values.
 SO EPL Stochastic Oscillator Indicator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current SO values.
 PPO EPL Percentage Price Oscillator EPL utilizes a new methodology of converting trend analysis indicators into functional probability values, allowing a multi-pronged approach to probability analysis. Probability of profit for the trade is based on analysis of 6 years of historical underlying asset behavior in conditions similar to the current PPO values.
0.00%   

Risk Disclosure: Selling naked calls or puts involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should fully understand the risks and consider their financial situation before engaging in such strategies.
Disclaimer: The probabilities presented are calculated using historical price data of the underlying asset. While some probabilities may suggest a 100% likelihood of profitability, this does not guarantee a successful trade outcome.
Caution: A 100% probability is only an indication that, based on past price trends, the trade is expected to be profitable. It does not ensure that future price behavior will not change or that unexpected market events won't impact the trade. These probabilities are for informational use only and should not be relied upon as trading advice.

Legend: * - Indicates that the bid / ask spread of the associated options may be wide. As always limit orders should be used - exercise additional caution and judgment when choosing a limit price.