Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (EL) - Company Overview

    Business Profile

    Performance Overview

Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Household & Personal Products

    Industry Context

Neutral relative strength. Household & Personal Products industry is neither a leader nor a laggard compared to other industries.

    This could indicate:

• Balanced positioning. No clear dominance or weakness. Household & Personal Products industry is performing 'in line with the pack.'
• Lack of momentum signals. Since both horizons align at the middle percentile, there is no directional edge from relative strength analysis alone.
• Rotation risk. Middle-ranked industries often get overshadowed when capital flows concentrate into clear leaders or rotate into beaten-down laggards.

    EL Performance vs. Sector (Consumer Staples) peers and Overall Market

In-line performer. Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (EL) is neither a leader nor a laggard relative to Consumer Staples sector peers.

    Interpretation:

• Balanced positioning. It is tracking the sector's overall behavior rather than standing out positively or negatively.
• Lack of directional edge. No strong signal from relative strength analysis. The stock is "average" across both horizons.
• Low conviction zone. Hard to justify aggressive long or short positions based on sector-relative performance alone.
• Rotation risk. Funds often prefer concentrating in sector leaders or contrarian laggards, leaving mid-tier names overlooked.
• Stock-specific drivers matter. Earnings, guidance, or unique company catalysts will likely matter more than sector-relative trends.
• Options traders. Neutral strategies (e.g., iron condors, calendars) may fit if implied volatility is favorable.

    EL Volatility Analysis

• Implied Volatility (IV):     39%
• 1-Year IV Percentile:     21%
  Current IV is higher than 21% of readings over the past year, indicating option premiums are relatively inexpensive because volatility expectations are low. Traders expect smaller price moves in the underlying. This favors long premium strategies, since you are paying less for potential movement.
• 1-Year IV Rank:     10
  Current IV Rank (10) is Very Low
  Interpretation:
  • Current IV is close to the lowest level of the past year.
  • Options are cheap relative to their history.
  • Market expects calm/stable conditions.
  • Risk: Volatility has room to rise from here (mean reversion).

    Options Sentiment

Call / Put Ratio

• Volume:  95%   ( -8% )
  Interpretation: Neutral to Slightly Bearish  Market Sentiment: This reflects a neutral market sentiment, where traders are not favoring a particular direction. There is no clear directional bias in the market. Trader is might be expecting volatility, but there is not a strong belief that prices will move significantly in either direction. The market is relatively indecisive.
• Open Interest:  105%   ( 0% )
  Interpretation: Mildly Bullish  Market Sentiment: Calls slightly outweigh puts. Growing optimism, moderate confidence in continued gains.
• Notional Value of Options Traded:  107%   ( -10% )
  Interpretation: Mildly Bullish  Market Sentiment: Slightly more capital in calls. Moderate optimism or early shift toward risk-on sentiment.
• Implied Volatility:  105%   ( 0% )
  Interpretation: Mildly Bullish  Market Sentiment: Suggests a mild bullish bias, where the implied volatility for calls is slightly higher than for puts. This indicates that investors are somewhat expecting upward movement or more volatility to the upside. There is a small preference for upside movement, but it is not extreme. Traders might anticipate a moderate increase in price or are hedging for some potential upside, but the sentiment is not strongly bullish.

Market value of open interest and average strike price weighted by open interest.

The average cost per option contract (calculated as mid-price weighted by open interest) for a given expiration month is a proxy for where traders' capital is most heavily positioned.

• A higher normalized value indicates that the open interest is concentrated in more expensive options (higher implied volatility or deeper ITM).
• A lower normalized value suggests open interest is focused on cheaper, out-of-the-money, or low-volatility options.

The average strike price weighted by open interest shows the "center of gravity" of traders' positioning for that expiration month. The strike price around which the majority of open interest (and thus traders' exposure) is concentrated.

• If the value is above the current stock price, it means traders' open interest is concentrated in higher strikes (bullish bias).
• If it's below the stock price, open interest is more concentrated in lower strikes (bearish bias).
• If it's near the current price, positioning is balanced around the current underlying level.

     High Probability Trades

The following high-probability options trade ideas can be considered for EL