High Probability Trade Ideas

Celestica Inc. (cls) Price: $250.83 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 10/27/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:50:14-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Put Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 200 Put Buy Nov.21 195 Put	$70	$100	87%	$11	17.39%

Diageo plc (deo) Price: $98.55 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 08/07/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:00:42-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Call Credit Spread	Sell Oct.17 105 Call Buy Oct.17 110 Call	$50	$53	85%	$2	2.95%

Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (el) Price: $87.89 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 10/30/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:42:29-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Call Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 100 Call Buy Nov.21 105 Call	$89	$94	82%	$13	20.26%

SPDR Gold Shares ETF (gld) Price: $335.62 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: Report Time: 09/18/2025 16:00:00-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Put Credit Spread	Sell Oct.24w 322 Put Buy Oct.24w 317 Put	$56	$58	86%	$1	1.51%

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (hwm) Price: $190.72 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 11/05/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:08:04-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Short Put	Sell Oct.31w 175 Put	$280	$303	90%	$98	27.32%
Put Credit Spread	Sell Oct.17 175 Put Buy Oct.17 170 Put	$50	$57	90%	$14	21.88%

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (jpm) Price: $312.82 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 10/14/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:55:26-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Put Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 285 Put Buy Nov.21 280 Put	$60	$67	88%	$9	14.06%

Coca-Cola Company (The) (ko) Price: $66.41 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 10/22/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:44:56-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Put Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 62.5 Put Buy Nov.21 60 Put	$30	$31	88%	$8	25%

NRG Energy Inc. (nrg) Price: $164.59 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 08/06/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:04:25-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Put Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 140 Put Buy Nov.21 135 Put	$65	$80	88%	$15	23.71%
Short Put	Sell Oct.24w 150 Put	$310	$335	85%	$72	22.31%

Novo Nordisk A/S (nvo) Price: $61.85 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 11/05/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:53:16-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Call Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 75 Call Buy Nov.21 80 Call	$54	$57	90%	$25	39.41%

SolarEdge Technologies Inc. (sedg) Price: $34.71 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 11/05/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:48:45-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Put Credit Spread	Sell Oct.17 27.5 Put Buy Oct.17 22.5 Put	$55	$59	86%	$13	19.63%

Constellation Brands Inc. (stz) Price: $132.97 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 10/06/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:41:50-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Short Put	Sell Oct.24w 125 Put	$285	$302	86%	$115	35.99%
Put Credit Spread	Sell Oct.17 125 Put Buy Oct.17 120 Put	$110	$117	82%	$33	54.21%
Call Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 150 Call Buy Nov.21 155 Call	$75	$80	85%	$10	15.63%

V.F. Corporation (vfc) Price: $15.09 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 10/27/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:53:04-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Short Put	Sell Nov.21 13 Put	$70	$72	85%	$23	76.37%
Call Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 18 Call Buy Nov.21 23 Call	$52	$54	87%	$30	45.51%

Walmart Inc. (wmt) Price: $103.79 Last Trade: NEW
Last Earnings: 08/21/2025 Report Time: 09/18/2025 15:55:05-EST

View	Trade	Estimated Profit		Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
View	Trade	Market	Target	Probability of Profit	Expected P/L	Expected AROI
Short Put	Sell Nov.21 97.5 Put	$162	$170	86%	$63	26.31%
Put Credit Spread	Sell Nov.21 97.5 Put Buy Nov.21 92.5 Put	$71	$84	83%	$11	16.63%

Risk Disclosure: Selling naked calls or puts involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should fully understand the risks and consider their financial situation before engaging in such strategies.
Disclaimer: The probabilities presented are calculated using historical price data of the underlying asset. While some probabilities may suggest a 100% likelihood of profitability, this does not guarantee a successful trade outcome.
Caution: A 100% probability is only an indication that, based on past price trends, the trade is expected to be profitable. It does not ensure that future price behavior will not change or that unexpected market events won't impact the trade. These probabilities are for informational use only and should not be relied upon as trading advice.

Legend: * - Indicates that the bid / ask spread of the associated options may be wide. As always limit orders should be used - exercise additional caution and judgment when choosing a limit price.